News sentiment and jumps in energy spot and futures markets

Svetlana Maslyuk-Escobedo, Kristian Rotaru and Alexander Dokumentov

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2017, vol. 45, issue C, 186-210

Abstract: How often do price discontinuities occur on spot and futures energy markets? What are their core characteristics in terms of incidence, size, and direction? Are price discontinuities in energy commodities related to large swings in market sentiment? Our study answers these questions by investigating the jump incidence of daily energy spot and nearest month futures returns for crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, heating oil and propane using formal nonparametric jump detection procedure for the period January 2003 to May 2013. This study proposes a proxy for aggregate and individual energy market sentiment reflecting the dynamics of news associated with the energy sector and a variety of distinct energy markets. Our analysis demonstrates that the greatest frequency of jumps occurred in spot markets as well as in crude oil and natural gas sentiment indices. The study identifies several types of co-jumps: between spot and futures pairs of energy commodities; across energy commodities; and between energy markets and relevant sentiment indices. Regarding the latter, the study discovers a statistically and practically significant dependency of jumps in corresponding energy commodity prices from the crude oil and aggregate sentiment indices introduced in this study.

Keywords: Jumps; Energy prices; Sentiment; Sentiment index; Nonparametric tests (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X16300919
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:45:y:2017:i:c:p:186-210

DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.07.001

Access Statistics for this article

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is currently edited by K. Chan and S. Ghon Rhee

More articles in Pacific-Basin Finance Journal from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().