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The flight to safety during credit recovery: The role of implicit government guarantees

Tianming Liu, Haifang Xiong, Yifei Li and Zhiqiang Wang

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2023, vol. 79, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the investor flight-to-safety phenomenon during the credit recovery period following corporate bond defaults. We find that implicit government guarantee (IGG) bonds crowd out non-implicit government guarantee (non-IGG) bonds in the Chinese corporate bond market at the provincial level. The crowding-out effect is stronger in a province with scarce bank credit resources. In contrast, the crowding-out effect disappears when the bonds are explicitly guaranteed by a third-party or if the default event is triggered by a state-owned enterprise (SOE). This finding is robust to various maturity terms, alternative samples, propensity score matching and placebo tests. Our evidence highlights the significant role of implicit government guarantees in the crowding-out effect during the credit recovery period.

Keywords: The flight to safety; Credit recovery; Implicit government guarantees; Government support (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G32 G33 G38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:79:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23000793

DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102013

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