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Pandemic panic? Effects of health system capacity on firm confidence during COVID-19

Balagopal Gopalakrishnan, Jamus Jerome Lim and Sanket Mohapatra

European Journal of Political Economy, 2024, vol. 84, issue C

Abstract: We examine whether firms’ business confidence – defined as their perceptions of risk and sentiment associated with the COVID-19 pandemic – is affected by ex ante health system capacity and ex post government responses. Using firm-level data from 53 countries, we find that ex ante proactive measures, such as healthcare spending and the availability of medical staff, favorably impact firms’ confidence. This effect is, however, moderated by the COVID-19 case load. We also find that the ex post reactive measures, such as health and containment actions and the overall quality of the government response, also bolster business confidence. These effects on confidence vary by firm size and the level of development of the economy, but are largely impervious to prior epidemic experience.

Keywords: Health system capacity; COVID-19; Private and public healthcare; Firm sentiment and risk; Textual analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D22 H41 H51 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:poleco:v:84:y:2024:i:c:s0176268023000666

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2023.102422

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European Journal of Political Economy is currently edited by J. De Haan, A. L. Hillman and H. W. Ursprung

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