A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: A case study of a full service deep water port

Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain, Farjana Nur, Seyedmohsen Hosseini, Raed Jaradat, Mohammad Marufuzzaman and Stephen M. Puryear

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2019, vol. 189, issue C, 378-396

Abstract: Ports are an integral part of the transportation system and are often susceptible to a diverse range of risks, including natural disasters, malicious cyber-attacks, technological factors, organizational factors, economic factors, and human error. To address the challenges triggered by these diverse risks, this research identifies the basic factors that could enhance the resilience of the port system. After these factors are identified and expressed as different resilience capacities, they are used to quantify the resilience of the port infrastructure by applying a Bayesian network. Quantification of resilience is further analyzed based on different advanced techniques such as forward propagation, backward propagation, sensitivity analysis, and information theory. The formal interpretation of these analyses indicates that maintenance, alternate routing, and manpower restoration are the leading factors contributing to enhancing the resilience of a port infrastructure system under disruptive conditions.

Keywords: Bayesian network; Maritime transportation; Port resilience; Resilience capacities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832018310718
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:p:378-396

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.04.037

Access Statistics for this article

Reliability Engineering and System Safety is currently edited by Carlos Guedes Soares

More articles in Reliability Engineering and System Safety from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().