Dealing with epistemic uncertainty in risk-informed decision making for dam safety management

Morales-Torres, Adrián, Ignacio Escuder-Bueno, Armando Serrano-Lombillo and Castillo Rodríguez, Jesica T.

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2019, vol. 191, issue C

Abstract: In recent years, the application of risk analysis to inform dam safety governance has increased significantly. In this framework, considering explicitly and independently both natural and epistemic uncertainty in quantitative risk models allows to understand the sources of uncertainty in risk results and to estimate the effect of actions, tests, and surveys to reduce epistemic uncertainty.

Keywords: Dam Safety; Decision making; Risk management; Risk & probability analysis; Uncertainty management; Quantitative analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:191:y:2019:i:c:s0951832019302212

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106562

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