Mission abort and rescue for multistate systems operating under the Poisson process of shocks

Gregory Levitin, Maxim Finkelstein and Yuanshun Dai

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2020, vol. 202, issue C

Abstract: The paper discusses mission abort and rescue strategies for multistate systems with different levels of performance. A system operates in a random environment modeled by the non-homogeneous Poisson process of shocks. With each shock, the state of a system stochastically deteriorates gradually moving to the state of a total failure. To prevent this event and to increase a system survival probability, a mission can be aborted and a rescue procedure can be activated. The number of experienced shocks is a decision parameter for the corresponding optimization problem that aims at maximizing the mission success probability subject to providing the desired level of survival probability. A detailed numerical example illustrates our findings.

Keywords: Applied probability; Multi-state system; Mission success probability; System survival probability; Mission abort; Non-homogeneous Poisson process of shocks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:202:y:2020:i:c:s0951832020305287

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107027

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