A rule-aware time-varying conflict risk measure for MASS considering maritime practice

Mengxia Li, Junmin Mou, Linying Chen, Yixiong He and Yamin Huang

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2021, vol. 215, issue C

Abstract: Conflict detection is a vital step of collision prevention at sea, determining if there is a risk of collision and when to take preventing actions. This article proposes a practical Rule-aware Time-varying Conflict Risk (R-TCR) for ship collision avoidance. Considering maritime practice, the conflict risk measure takes the ship maneuverability, the COLREGs, and good seamanship into account in the conflict risk measure. Specifically, the conflict risk is formulated as a ratio of achievable maneuvers leading to a collision to all achievable maneuvers. Simulations are carried out to show the characteristics of R-TCR. The results show that the R-TCR evaluates the entire conflict risk incorporating COLREG rules, multiple targets, different maneuverability, and varying ship domains. Finally, the proposed measure is applied to analyze the collision accident between two ships. Compared with the conventional risk indicators, the proposed R-TCR can deliver extra information to users, such as providing early warning, showing the room-for-maneuver, and suggesting evasive actions. Besides, the extra information also supports collision avoidance for autonomous ships.

Keywords: Conflict risk; Collision avoidance; Ship domain; Maneuverability; COLREG rules; TCR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:215:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021003380

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107816

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