Optimal resilience-based restoration of a system subject to recurrent dependent hazards

Yian Wei, Yao Cheng and Haitao Liao

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2024, vol. 247, issue C

Abstract: Many engineered systems are faced with multiple natural and manmade hazards during operation. Since such hazards may cause system disruptions (e.g., catastrophic failure and performance deterioration), timely and effective restoration needs to be conducted to minimize the negative impacts of the hazards. In practice, these hazards are recurrent and often interact dynamically with each other. This causes a major challenge in assessing the performance of the systems and determining the optimal restoration policy from a holistic perspective. In this paper, we model the availability and resilience of a system subject to recurrent and dependent hazards and develop the optimal restoration policies for decision makers with different risk preferences. Particularly, we first model the random occurrence times and severities of a set of hazards whose occurrence frequencies and severities are dynamically dependent. Next, we derive the analytical expressions for the system's availability metrics. Third, we investigate the optimal restoration policies for both risk-neutral (RN) and risk-averse (RA) decision makers by solving two related optimization problems. A case study on the pipelines in the Mid-Atlantic area of the U.S. is provided to illustrate the practical values of the proposed availability assessment and resilience optimization methods.

Keywords: Recurrent and dependent hazards; Availability assessment; Resilience optimization; Optimal restoration policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024002114
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:247:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024002114

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110137

Access Statistics for this article

Reliability Engineering and System Safety is currently edited by Carlos Guedes Soares

More articles in Reliability Engineering and System Safety from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().