Localized commercial effects from natural disasters: The case of Hurricane Sandy and New York City
Rachel Meltzer,
Ingrid Gould Ellen and
Xiaodi Li
Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2021, vol. 86, issue C
Abstract:
This paper considers the localized economic impacts of a climate-related storm, Hurricane Sandy. Controlling for exposure to pre-storm risk, we exploit variation in post-storm inundation to identify the impact of storm-induced flooding on establishment survival, employment, and sales revenues. Results indicate that there were economic losses from Sandy and, as expected, they were concentrated among retail businesses with more localized consumer bases. After Sandy, retail establishments exposed to higher surge levels experienced 11 percentage point higher closure rates and 9 percent larger sales revenue declines compared to establishments with less exposure to inundation. In addition, closures were concentrated among standalone establishments. These losses appear to be fairly persistent, showing no sign of recovery to pre-storm levels by 2016. The evidence for jobs is more tentative—at most, they exacerbated an existing downward trend for retail establishments after Sandy.
Keywords: Natural disaster; Retail; Resilience; Business (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q51 Q53 R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:regeco:v:86:y:2021:i:c:s0166046220302933
DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2020.103608
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