Risk-based multistage stochastic mixed-integer optimization for biofuel supply chain management under multiple uncertainties

Mohammadamin Zarei, Mohammad H. Shams, Haider Niaz, Wangyun Won, Chul-Jin Lee and J. Jay Liu

Renewable Energy, 2022, vol. 200, issue C, 694-705

Abstract: CO2 emissions from the transportation sector account for 22% of global emissions. Blending biofuels with fossil fuels is a promising method for reducing these emissions and ensuring energy security. One of the most important and challenging aspects of the biofuel production process is the design of supply chains that integrate various types of biomasses under multiple uncertainties. The aim of this study is to address this issue by proposing a multi-stage stochastic program for strategic and tactical planning in multi-feedstock biofuel supply chain networks under uncertainties of biomass supply and biofuel demand. The proposed model minimizes the total annualized cost by selecting raw materials, positioning production facilities, placing storage facilities, and defining deferral paths for each feedstock. In addition, a new dynamic method of the conditional value at risk is adopted to consider the risk hedge. Deterministic, stochastic, and risk-based models are compared, and case studies based on the South Korean context show the effectiveness of the model and the algorithm. Computational results indicate that considering risk can increase biofuel expected production cost by up to 88%. It also shows that biomass transportation is the most affected part of the supply chain in risk assessment. Furthermore, it indicates that a value of 0.5 is the most effective risk aversion factor.

Keywords: Biomass to biofuel; Supply chain; Stochastic programing; Risk consideration; Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122014963
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:200:y:2022:i:c:p:694-705

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.10.003

Access Statistics for this article

Renewable Energy is currently edited by Soteris A. Kalogirou and Paul Christodoulides

More articles in Renewable Energy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().