Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation mix scenarios in Tunisia

Bernhard Brand and Rafik Missaoui

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2014, vol. 39, issue C, 251-261

Abstract: The diversification of the national electricity generation mix has risen to the top of Tunisia׳s energy planning agenda. Presently, natural gas provides 96% of the primary energy for electric power generation, but declining domestic gas reserves and a soaring electricity demand are urgently calling for alternative fuel strategies. Currently discussed diversification options include the introduction of coal and nuclear power plants and/or an increased use of renewable energies. This article presents a methodology to assess different electricity system transformation strategies. By combining an electricity market model with a subsequent multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), we evaluate five power mix scenarios regarding power generation costs as well as non-economic dimensions such as energy security, environmental impact and social welfare effects. Based on criteria valuations obtained during consultations with Tunisian stakeholders, a final, best-ranking electricity scenario was selected, consisting of 15% wind, 15% solar and 70% natural gas-generated electricity in the national power mix by 2030.

Keywords: Tunisia; Electricity generation scenarios; Multi-criteria analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (36)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.069

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