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Analysis and application of forecasting models in wind power integration: A review of multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting models

Jianzhou Wang, Yiliao Song, Feng Liu and Ru Hou

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2016, vol. 60, issue C, 960-981

Abstract: Wind energy, which is clean, inexhaustible and free, has been used to mitigate the crisis of conventional resource depletion. However, wind power is difficult to implement on a large scale because the volatility of wind hinders the prediction of steady and accurate wind power or speed values, especially for multi-step-ahead and long horizon cases. Multi-step-ahead prediction of wind speed is challenging and can be realized by the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). However, a large error in wind speed will occur due to inaccurate predictions at the beginning of the synoptic process in WRF. Multi-step wind speed predictions using statistical and machine learning methods have rarely been studied because greater numbers of forecasting steps correspond to lower accuracy.

Keywords: Multi-step wind speed forecast; Validation cuckoo search; EEMD; Lazy learning; Robustness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (64)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.01.114

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