Quantifying rates and drivers of change in long-term sector- and country-specific trends of carbon dioxide-equivalent greenhouse gas emissions
Fatma Ozturk,
Melek Keles and
Fatih Evrendilek
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2016, vol. 65, issue C, 823-831
Abstract:
Significance, direction, rate, and drivers of change in total carbon dioxide -equivalent (CO2-eq.) greenhouse gas (GHG) (GHGCO2−e) emission from eight sectors of 41 Annex-I countries were quantified over the period of 1990–2012 using data-driven models. The Mann-Kendall (MK) test for trend analysis indicated an overall downward trend by 10.5% with a Sen's slope of −613 Mt CO2-eq./year. The highest GHGCO2−e emission growth and reduction occurred with the sectors of energy, and land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) at rates of 1.2 and −1.0 gigatons (Gt) CO2-eq./year, respectively. Out of the 41 countries, 18 (44%) and 12 (29%) significantly reduced and increased their GHGCO2−e emission rates, respectively (p<0.1). The best-fit multiple non-linear regression (MNLR) model as a function of population density, gross domestic product per capita, fractional contribution of renewable energy to total energy production, country, and year elucidated 99.8% of variation in total GHGCO2−e emission and had the predictive power of 99.8% based on leave-one-out cross-validation.
Keywords: Annex-I countries; Kyoto protocol; Greenhouse gas emissions; Data-driven modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032116303689
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:rensus:v:65:y:2016:i:c:p:823-831
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/bibliographic
http://www.elsevier. ... 600126/bibliographic
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.07.035
Access Statistics for this article
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews is currently edited by L. Kazmerski
More articles in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu (repec@elsevier.com).