Prospective analysis for a long-term optimal energy mix planning in Algeria: Towards high electricity generation security in 2062

Saiah Bekkar Djelloul Saiah and Amine Boudghene Stambouli

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2017, vol. 73, issue C, 26-43

Abstract: Issues relating to the potential collapse of oil prices and possible consequences which are rising for all oil producing countries including OPEC countries (in which Algeria is a member). Since February 2011, a national renewable energy (RE) program was launched by the president of Algeria to make RE a major source of production for electrical energy which is a fundamental concept for sustainable development. A prospective analysis will be used to contribute in making a decision for such process. This article addresses the issue that explains the current and future energy scenarios in Algeria with the aim of investigating opportunities and possibilities for enhancing the presence of renewable energy resources in Algeria's Energy mix. This prospective is particularly suitable to the treatment of long-term technological energy issues in Algeria from an explicit representation of economic characteristics (represented by indicators: GDP, population and unemployment), and energetics (expressed by the aggregate of energy production, of total and final consumption) during the period 1962–2012. The developed approach can enrich the discussion of possible consequences of futures energy in the country. We focused on the consumer sectors of energy (Industrial, Transport and Household sector) and strategies to increase the contribution of renewable in the energy supply, in order to respond efficiently to national expectations as part of their energy and economic objectives. It should be noted that the present study offers three energy scenarios in Algeria from mid to long term. We suggest that the scenario " Trended Non Energetic Efficiency (EE) " could be a reference in the 10 coming years. Moreover, " Trended of EE " and " voluntarism of EE " are considered as transition scenarios in case that Algeria desires to improve its energy system on the horizon of 2062, a year taken as a reference to the 100 year jubilee of independence.

Keywords: Collapse of oil prices; Production of electrical energy; Prospective analysis; Renewable energy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136403211730031X
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:rensus:v:73:y:2017:i:c:p:26-43

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/bibliographic
http://www.elsevier. ... 600126/bibliographic

DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2017.01.023

Access Statistics for this article

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews is currently edited by L. Kazmerski

More articles in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().