Assessment of national greenhouse gas mitigation targets for 2030 through meta-analysis of bottom-up energy and emission scenarios: A case of Japan

Takeshi Kuramochi, Takako Wakiyama and Akihisa Kuriyama

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2017, vol. 77, issue C, 924-944

Abstract: This study conducted a comparative assessment and a meta-analysis of 48 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction scenarios based on bottom-up energy system analyses for 2030 reported in seven studies published between 2011 and 2015 to obtain insights into the ambition level of Japan's official mitigation target for 2030. First, the scenarios were categorised into four mitigation effort levels and assessed the GHG emissions range (excluding land use, land use change and forestry: LULUCF) as well as key underlying energy-related indicators for each effort level category. Second, a multiple regression equation was derived and applied to project GHG emissions with selected energy-related explanatory variables. Using the derived regression equation, we calculated the levels of low-carbon energy supply and end-use energy savings required to achieve different levels of GHG mitigation.

Keywords: Japan; Climate change mitigation; Climate policy; UNFCCC; Intended nationally determined contribution (INDC); Greenhouse gases; Energy mix; Renewable energy; Energy and emission scenarios; Modelling; Paris Agreement (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:rensus:v:77:y:2017:i:c:p:924-944

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DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.12.093

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