Do Fixed Links Affect Settlement Patterns: A Synthetic Control Approach

Eivind Tveter, Morten Welde and James Odeck

Research in Transportation Economics, 2017, vol. 63, issue C, 59-72

Abstract: This paper evaluates the extent to which transportation projects affect settlement patterns. We consider fixed link projects because they provide a large and swift change in accessibility. We use the synthetic control method and estimate the impacts on settlement patterns for 11 fixed links projects constructed in the period from 1989 to 2008. The synthetic controls are weighted averages of control municipalities with weights chosen to replicate population trends in the pre-fixed link periods. We find clear impacts on settlement patterns for fixed links connecting islands to urban areas and on islands utilizing natural resources, although there are exceptions. In the other cases, the impacts are negligible.

Keywords: Fixed links; Transportation; Settlement patterns; Ex-post evaluation; Synthetic control method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 R14 R42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2017.07.002

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