America’s fleet evolution in an automated future

Neil Quarles, Kara M. Kockelman and Jooyong Lee

Research in Transportation Economics, 2021, vol. 90, issue C

Abstract: Cost reductions and technological advancements are priming autonomous, electric, and shared vehicles for rapid growth, which may improve safety and mobility, but may also increase vehicle-miles traveled (VMT). This study seeks to improve upon existing fleet evolution work, by simulating the adoption of autonomous, electric, and shared vehicles in a single fleet evolution simulation, calibrated with results of a recent survey of Americans. Statistical models are used in the household-level microsimulation to model decisions regarding vehicle transactions, travel behavior, and land use decisions.

Keywords: Autonomous vehicle; Fleet evolution; Vehicle-miles traveled; Vehicle ownership (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2021.101107

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