Returns, volatility and investor sentiment: Evidence from European stock markets

Alain Frugier

Research in International Business and Finance, 2016, vol. 38, issue C, 45-55

Abstract: In this study, we show that patterns in returns behave as if investors, influenced by their level of optimism, selected stocks according to their volatility. Our goal is to confirm the contribution of behavioral finance while showing that investor sentiment can be profitably used by practitioners. We incorporate volatility in the relationship between investor sentiment and future returns, this is the main originality of our approach. Our methodology consists in comparing returns, volatility and higher-order moments of portfolios managed with investor sentiment against those obtained either with passive (buy and hold) portfolio management or with a minimum variance portfolio. Portfolios managed with investor sentiment have better returns and involve less risk under certain conditions.

Keywords: Behavioral finance; Investor sentiment; Portfolio management; Volatility; Returns predictability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:38:y:2016:i:c:p:45-55

DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.007

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