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On an optimal stopping problem of Gusein-Zade

Arthur Q. Frank and Stephen M. Samuels

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 1980, vol. 10, issue 3, 299-311

Abstract: We study the problem of selecting one of the r best of n rankable individuals arriving in random order, in which selection must be made with a stopping rule based only on the relative ranks of the successive arrivals. For each r up to r=25, we give the limiting (as n-->[infinity]) optimal risk (probability of not selecting one of the r best) and the limiting optimal proportion of individuals to let go by before being willing to stop. (The complete limiting form of the optimal stopping rule is presented for each r up to r=10, and for r=15, 20 and 25.) We show that, for large n and r, the optical risk is approximately (1-t*)r, where t*[approximate]0.2834 is obtained as the roof of a function which is the solution to a certain differential equation. The optimal stopping rule [tau]r,n lets approximately t*n arrivals go by and then stops 'almost immediately', in the sense that [tau]r,n/n-->t* in probability as n-->[infinity], r-->[infinity]

Keywords: Secretary; problem; optimal; stopping; relative; ranks; best; choice; problems (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1980
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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