Cusum tests for changes in the Hurst exponent and volatility of fractional Brownian motion

Markus Bibinger

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2020, vol. 161, issue C

Abstract: In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer–Major theorems by Bégyn (2007) and Nourdin and Nualart (2019), we show under infill asymptotics consistency of the tests and weak convergence to the Kolmogorov–Smirnov law under the no-change hypothesis. The test is feasible and pivotal in the sense that it is based on a statistic and critical values which do not require knowledge of any parameter values. Consistent estimation of the break date under the alternative hypothesis is established. We demonstrate the finite-sample properties in simulations and a data example.

Keywords: Change-point test; Cusum; Fractional Brownian motion; High-frequency data; Hurst exponent; Sunspot (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2020.108725

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