A problem of minimax estimation with directional information
Thomas S. Ferguson
Statistics & Probability Letters, 1996, vol. 26, issue 3, 205-211
Abstract:
This problem is in the area of minimax selection of experiments. Nature chooses a number [theta] in the closed interval [-1, 1]. The statistician chooses a number y in the same interval (an experiment) and is informed whether [theta] y. Based on this information, the statistician then estimates [theta] with squared error loss. The minimax solution of this problem is found. The minimax value is 1/(2e). The least favorable distribution involves the truncated t-distribution with two degrees of freedom. The minimax choice of experiment involves the truncated t-distribution with zero degrees of freedom.
Keywords: Selection; of; experiments; Optimal; design; Search; games; Minimum; variance; partitions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1996
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