Default barrier intensity model for credit risk evaluation

Majdi Elhiwi

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2014, vol. 95, issue C, 125-131

Abstract: We establish the Default Barrier Intensity (DBI) model, based on the conditional survival probability (also called hazard function barrier), which allows the pricing of credit derivatives with stochastic parameters. Moreover, the DBI is an analytic model which combines the structural and the reduced form approaches. It deals with the impact of the default barrier intensity on the processes around the firm. Using this model we prove the Doob–Meyer decomposition of the default process associated with the random barrier. In this framework, we present the default barrier process as the sum of its compensator (which is a predictable process) and a martingale related to the smallest filtration making the random barrier a stopping time. Furthermore, the DBI as well as the Shifted Square Root Diffusion (SSRD) Alfonsi’s model emphasizes on the dependence between the stochastic default intensity and the interest rate. This model can be useful since it can be easily generalized to all the credit derivatives products such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) and Credit Default Swaps (CDS).

Keywords: Credit risk; Structural and reduced form model; Barrier process; Conditional expectation; Default intensity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2014.08.008

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