Will leisure trips be more affected than work trips by autonomous technology? Modelling self-driving public transport and cars in Stockholm, Sweden

Erik Almlöf, Mikael Nybacka, Anna Pernestål and Erik Jenelius

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2022, vol. 165, issue C, 1-19

Abstract: Self-driving technology may lead to a paradigm shift for the transport industry with shared cars available to every-one. However, this vision has increasingly been challenged as too optimistic and unsubstantiated. In this study we explore societal impacts of using this technology for both cars and public transport and investigate differences depending on geography and trip purpose. Four scenarios were designed through workshops with 130 transport experts, modelled using a conventional four-step model for Stockholm, Sweden and evaluated in terms of changes to mode choice, number of trips and person kilometres.

Keywords: Autonomous vehicle; Trip purpose; Mode choice; Travel demand modelling; Large-scale simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.08.023

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