Integrated origin-based demand modeling for air transportation

Sebastian Birolini, Mattia Cattaneo, Paolo Malighetti and Chiara Morlotti

Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2020, vol. 142, issue C

Abstract: This paper proposes an origin-based air travel demand model that assumes saturation at the origin level and explicitly accounts for substitutability between destinations. We simultaneously integrate demand generation and allocation by means of a multilevel aggregate nested logit formulation that covers the choices of whether or not to travel by air, where to travel (destination), and how to travel (itinerary). Two specifications are proposed to reflect systematic differences between lengths of haul and the bootstrap is applied to jointly address endogeneity issues and data missingness. The validity of the proposed approach is tested over the entire network of outbound air trips from Italy in 2018.

Keywords: Air travel demand; Demand generation; Demand allocation; Price endogeneity; Bootstrapping (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2020.102050

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