A multi-paradigm approach to system dynamics modeling of intercity transportation

J.-H. Lewe, L.F. Hivin and D.N. Mavris

Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2014, vol. 71, issue C, 188-202

Abstract: The complexity of the transportation system calls for a holistic solution approach that employs multiple modeling paradigms such as agent-based modeling and system dynamics. Various techniques for combining these paradigms are explored and logically classified, which helps guide hybrid modeling. A system dynamics model for multimodal intercity transportation is created, which integrates socioeconomic factors, mode performance, aggregated demand and capacity. The model is calibrated against a set of data points from an existing agent-based model. An effective inheritance of the proven predictive power of the agent-based model is demonstrated by reproducing the historic aviation demand with sufficient accuracy.

Keywords: Complex system-of-systems simulation; Inter-city multimodal transportation; Aviation demand forecast; Classification of hybrid models; Surrogate modeling; Discrete choice model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2014.09.011

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