Evolution and stability of liner shipping networks in Northeast Asia from 2018 to 2022

Shu Guo and Jing Lyu

Transport Policy, 2024, vol. 158, issue C, 159-174

Abstract: Ports are severely challenged by the uncertainty of the transportation environment. To evaluate the stability of maritime transportation network in Northeast Asia under port disruption, a network stability analysis model based on node failure rate that considers static and structural, dynamic and functional is proposed in this paper. In this model, the stability of the maritime transportation network is redefined. Based on complex network theory, the statistical topological parameters and evolution of the network are quantitatively analyzed. The active response and passive adaptation process of the maritime transportation network to the failure rate of the port are analyzed. The evaluation results illustrate that the initial stability of the port is proportional to the non-redundant connections and independence of the port. Network location advantages profoundly affect the probability of port failures. The diffusion of port failures in maritime transportation is phased, and the network is adaptive to port disruptions and has high stability. These results contribute to better planning of maritime transportation routes and strategies for port calls by strategic planners of shipping companies.

Keywords: Maritime transportation; Port disruption; Node failure rate; Stability; Northeast Asia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.10.001

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