 The impact of the U.S.-China trade war on air and ocean shipmentsLi Zou, Martin E. Dresner and Chunyan Yu Transport Policy, 2025, vol. 160, issue C, 89-106 Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of the U.S.-China trade war and the consequent increase in trade costs on air and ocean shipments between the two countries. Using panel data covering U.S. exports and imports with its trading partners from 2016 to 2021, we estimate gravity models and find evidence showing negative impacts of the trade war on both U.S. imports from China and U.S. exports to China. However, there are differential impacts on air shipments and ocean shipments. Specifically, we find that U.S. tariff increases on Chinese goods primarily had a negative effect on air imports from China, whereas China's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods mainly had a negative impact on U.S. ocean exports. These findings contribute to the growing body of evidence on the effects of the U.S.-China trade war, highlighting the varying impacts of the trade war on different modes of transportation that drive the U.S.-China trade relationship. Keywords: Air/ocean transport; U.S.-China trade war; Tariffs; Trade costs (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:trapol:v:160:y:2025:i:c:p:89-106 Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.11.001 Access Statistics for this article Transport Policy is currently edited by Y. Hayashi More articles in Transport Policy from Elsevier |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.