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Estimating the relationship between ethnic inequality, conflict and voter turnout in Africa using geocoded data

Klaus Ackermann, Sefa Awaworyi Churchill and Russell Smyth

World Development, 2024, vol. 180, issue C

Abstract: To what extent is voter turnout influenced by ethnic inequality? We combine ethnolinguistic maps on sub-national locations of ethnic groups with night-time light satellite images to construct a dataset of ethnic inequality across sub-national locations in 24 African countries. Using election data from the constituency-level elections archive, we show that ethnic inequality is negatively associated with voter turnout. This relationship holds even after we control for endogeneity and geographic characteristics. We also construct a dataset of election conflict across the sub-national areas. We find that an increase in ethnic inequality is associated with an increase in conflict, which reduces voter turnout.

Keywords: Ethnic inequality; Conflict; Voter turnout; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:180:y:2024:i:c:s0305750x24001141

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106644

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