Exchange rate shocks in multicurrency interbank markets

Pierre Siklos and Martin Stefan

CAMA Working Papers from Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University

Abstract: We simulate the impact on the nonbank liabilities of banks in a multiplex interbank environment arising from changes in currency exposure. Currency shocks as a source of financial contagion in the banking sector have not, so far, been considered. Our model considers two sources of contagion: shocks to nonbank assets and exchange rate shocks. Interbank loans can mature at different times. We demonstrate that a dominant currency can be a significant source of financial contagion. We also find evidence of asymmetries in losses stemming from large currency depreciations versus appreciations. A variety of scenarios are considered allowing for differences in the sparsity of the banking network, the relative size and number of banks, changes in nonbank assets and equity, the possibility of bank breakups, and the dominance of a particular currency. Policy implications are also drawn.

Keywords: Systemic risk; financial contagion; interbank markets; multilayer networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 60 pages
Date: 2021-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-mon and nep-net
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Related works:
Journal Article: Exchange rate shocks in multicurrency interbank markets (2021)
Working Paper: Exchange rate shocks in multicurrency interbank markets (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:een:camaaa:2021-44

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