What are the price effects of trade? Evidence from the US for quantitative trade models
Xavier Jaravel and
Erick Sager
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library
Abstract:
This paper finds that U.S. consumer prices fell substantially due to increased trade with China. With comprehensive price micro-data and two complementary identification strategies, we estimate that a 1pp increase in import penetration from China causes a 1.91% decline in consumer prices. This price response is driven by declining markups for domestically-produced goods, and is one order of magnitude larger than in standard trade models that abstract from strategic price-setting. The estimates imply that trade with China increased U.S. consumer surplus by about $400,000 per displaced job, and that product categories catering to low-income consumers experienced larger price declines.
JEL-codes: F10 F13 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 112 pages
Date: 2019-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-int
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ehl:lserod:103402
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