A tale of two peoples: motivated reasoning in the aftermath of the Brexit vote

Miriam Sorace and Sara Hobolt

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: Partisanship is a powerful driver of economic perceptions. Yet we know less about whether other political divisions may lead to similar evaluative biases. In this paper, we explore how the salient divide between "Remainers"and "Leavers"in the UK in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum has given rise to biased economic perceptions. In line with the cognitive dissonance framework, we argue that salient non-partisan divisions can change economic perceptions by triggering processes of self- and in-group justification. Using both nationally-representative observational and experimental survey data, we demonstrate that the perceptions of the economy are shaped by the Brexit divide and that these biases are exacerbated when respondents are reminded of Brexit. These findings indicate that perceptual biases are not always rooted in partisanship, but can be triggered by other political divisions.

Keywords: perceptual bias; economic perceptions; accountability; referendums; Brexi (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: N0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18 pages
Date: 2020-05-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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Published in Political Science Research and Methods, 29, May, 2020. ISSN: 2049-8470

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ehl:lserod:105106

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