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Growth trajectories and political economy in a Structuralist open economy model

Gabriel Porcile (), Danilo Spinola and Giuliano Yajima

Review of Keynesian Economics, 2023, vol. 11, issue 3, 350-376

Abstract: This paper presents a set of growth and distribution models for open developing economies under different political economy regimes. These regimes give rise to different institutional frameworks which in turn shape macroeconomic outcomes. We focus on three cases: (1) a pure developmentalist state, (2) conflicting claims between workers and government, and (3) an open capital account under a Neoliberal coalition. The equilibrium growth rate is defined by the Balance-of-Payments (BOP) constraint. Cumulative causation à la Kaldor in periods in which the depreciation of the real exchange rate temporarily raises the equilibrium growth rate allows (under certain conditions) for a process of learning that transforms the income elasticity of exports and hence the BOP-constrained rate of growth in the long run. The model produces a variety of outcomes that explains some of the contradictory results reported in the empirical literature in terms of different constellations of power and institutions.

Keywords: structural change; growth models; structuralist models; BOP-constrained growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O33 O40 O41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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