The Medium Run impact of Non Pharmaceutical Interventions. Evidence from the 1918 Inuenza in US cities

Guillaume Chapelle

No 2020-04, THEMA Working Papers from THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise

Abstract: This paper uses a difference in differences framework to estimate the causal impact on the mortality rate of Non Pharmaceutical In- terventions (NPIs) used to fight pandemics. The results suggest that NPIs such as school closures and social distancing introduce a trade-off. While they can lower the fatality rate during the peak of the pandemic, they also reduce the herd immunity and significantly increase the death rate in subsequent years. There is no significant association between the implementation of NPIs and cities' growth.

JEL-codes: H51 H84 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ema:worpap:2020-04

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