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Efectos de variaciones en el tipo de cambio sobre el nivel general de precios: México 1980-2011

Jose Romero ()
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Jose Romero: El Colegio de México

Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos from El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos

Abstract: The present paper estimate for Mexico coefficient pass-through of the type change on the general level of prices for three periods: 1980q1-1990q4; 1991q1-2000q4 and 2001q1-2011q4. From an empirical analysis, we quantify the evolution of the coefficient of short and long term as well as its process of adjustment over time. We find a drop in the coefficient of pass-through after the decade of the 1980s. However, the results do not suggest that the decline observed in the coefficient may be considered as permanent. If the level of the inflation rate and its persistence rise in the future, we will observe an increase in the value of the coefficient of pass-through, which in turn would give new impetus to inflationary pressures. These results lead us to conclude that the Bank of Mexico has control on the nominal exchange rate but not on the real exchange rate.

Keywords: pass-through; inflation; exchange rate; real exchange rate; Bank of Mexico (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E52 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:emx:ceedoc:2012-13

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