Falling short of expectations? Stress-testing the European banking system

Viral Acharya and Sascha Steffen

CEPS Papers from Centre for European Policy Studies

Abstract: Before the ECB takes over responsibility for overseeing Europe’s largest banks, as foreseen in the establishment of a eurozone banking union, it plans to conduct an Asset Quality Review (AQR) throughout the coming year, which will identify the capital shortfalls of these banks. This study finds that a comprehensive and decisive AQR will most likely reveal a substantial lack of capital in many peripheral and core European banks. The authors provide estimates of the capital shortfalls of banks that will be stress-tested under the AQR using publicly available data and a series of shortfall measures. Their analysis identifies which banks will most likely need capital, where a public back stop is likely to be needed and, since many countries are already highly leveraged, where an EU-wide backstop might be necessary.

Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2014-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-rmg
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