The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers

Lutz Kilian

No 1110, Working Papers from Economic Research Forum

Abstract: This paper makes four contributions. First, it investigates the extent to which the U.S. fracking boom has caused Arab oil exports to decline since late 2008. Second, the paper quantifies for the first time by how much the U.S. fracking boom has lowered the global price of oil. Using a novel econometric methodology, it is shown that in mid-2014, for example, the Brent price of crude oil was lower by $10 than it would have been in the absence of the fracking boom. Third, the paper provides evidence that the decline in Saudi net foreign assets between mid-2014 and August 2015 would have been reduced by 27% in the absence of the fracking boom. Finally, the paper discusses the policy choices faced by Saudi Arabia and other Arab oil producers.

Pages: 34
Date: 2017-22-06, Revised 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara and nep-ene
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (92)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers (2017)
Journal Article: The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers (2017)
Working Paper: The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers (2016)
Working Paper: The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers (2016)
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