Climate Change and Spatial Agricultural Development in Turkey

Burhan Karahasan and Mehmet Pinar

No 1524, Working Papers from Economic Research Forum

Abstract: Global combat with climate change is central to policymaking. However, recent discussions underline the rising disparity of the impact of climate change for countries with different topographic conditions. Motivated by the rising importance of local differences in climatic developments, this paper aims to investigate the impact of climate change on the spatial distribution of the agriculture sector in Turkey. Using provincial data between 2004 and 2019, our findings show that climate change has a pervasive impact on the regional distribution of agricultural activities. We found out that the impact of climate change on agricultural outcomes is mainly visible through rising temperatures. Those regions with accelerating average temperature are realizing falling agricultural value-added and employment. Moreover, our findings show that the same areas also experience higher food and overall price increases. Our local variability analyses reveal the non-monotonic relationships and suggest that the negative impact of climate change is more observable in for the eastern regions. Our findings demonstrate that climate change is another factor that contributing to the west-east regional development disparities in Turkey. These results are robust to different model specifications and endogeneity of climate change.

Pages: 59
Date: 2021-12-20, Revised 2021-12-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ara and nep-env
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Published by The Economic Research Forum (ERF)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Climate change and spatial agricultural development in Turkey (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:erg:wpaper:1524

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