Financial Connectedness and Risk Transmission Among MENA Countries: Evidence from Connectedness Network and Clustering Analysis

Mehmet Balcilar and Shawkat Hammoudeh ()
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Shawkat Hammoudeh: University of Economics HCMC

No 1605, Working Papers from Economic Research Forum

Abstract: This study examines the financial connectedness and risk transmission among MENA economies by accounting for financial connectedness in the short and long run as well dependency under extreme market conditions and network graph analysis. To this end, Composite Financial Stress Indices are constructed for 11 MENA countries. In addition, a battery of econometric models is applied including the standard spillover approach, the frequency domain method, the quantile connectedness technique, and connectedness networks analysis. Using daily data over the period from June 30, 2006 to June 30, 2021, the empirical results show a positive and strong association between financial stress co-movements and spillovers in those MENA countries, particularly during the long run and high extreme stress periods. Furthermore, the five Gulf countries are strongly financially connected among themselves than with the other countries. Contrary, to Tunisia, Saudi Arabia is the main financial stress and risk transmitter to other MENA economies whereas, the North African countries are relatively mild receivers of risk. Finally, the more open countries in terms of capital controls, particularly Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and UAE seem to play a more central role in financial connectedness and risk spillovers

Pages: 50
Date: 2022-11-20, Revised 2022-11-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-net and nep-rmg
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