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High Discounts and Low Fundamental Surplus: An Equivalence Result for Unemployment Fluctuations

Indrajit Mitra, Taeuk Seo and Yu Xu

No 2021-22, FRB Atlanta Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Abstract: Ljungqvist and Sargent (2017) (LS) show that unemployment fluctuations can be understood in terms of a quantity they call the “fundamental surplus.” However, their analysis ignores risk premia, a force that Hall (2017) shows is important in understanding unemployment fluctuations. We show how the LS framework can be adapted to incorporate risk premia. We derive an equivalence result that relates parameters in economies with risk premia to those of an artificial economy without risk premia. We show how to use properties of the artificial economy to deduce how risk premia affect unemployment dynamics in the original economy.

Keywords: risk premia; fundamental surplus; time-varying discounts; unemployment fluctuations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E23 E24 E32 E44 J23 J24 J31 J41 J63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31
Date: 2021-09-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-mac, nep-ore and nep-upt
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Published in 2021

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedawp:93477

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DOI: 10.29338/wp2021-22

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