Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?

Yi Che, Yi Lu, Justin Pierce, Peter Schott and Zhigang Tao

No 2016-039, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the county is represented by a Democrat. We find that these changes are consistent with Democrats in office being more likely than Republicans to support legislation limiting import competition or favoring economic assistance.

Keywords: China; Voting; Elections; Import Competition; Normal Trade Relations; World Trade Organization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 F13 F16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2016-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-cna, nep-int, nep-pke and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/feds/2016/files/2016039pap.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections? (2016)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2016-39

DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.039

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ryan Wolfslayer ; Keisha Fournillier ().