A New Way to Visualize the Evolution of Monetary Policy Expectations

Marcel A. Priebsch
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Marcel A. Priebsch: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/marcel-a-priebsch.htm

No 2019-09-20-2, FEDS Notes from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: Using information from financial market quotes and surveys, this article analyzes the evolution from January to July 2019 of probabilities attached to different policy rate outcomes using "probability simplex" diagrams.

Date: 2019-09-20
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfn:2019-09-20-2

DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.2444

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