The role of China in Asia: engine, conduit, or steamroller?

Shaghil Ahmed, Brahima Coulibaly, Jane Haltmaier, Ross Knippenberg, Sylvain Leduc, Mario Marazzi and Beth Anne Wilson
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Beth Anne Wilson: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/beth-anne-wilson.htm

No 904, International Finance Discussion Papers from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: This paper assesses China's role in Asia as an independent engine of growth, as a conduit of demand from the industrial countries, and as a competitor for export markets. We provide both macroeconomic and microeconomic evidence. The macroeconomic analysis focuses on the impact of U.S. and Chinese demand on the output of the Asian economies by estimating growth comovements and VARs. The results suggest an increasing role of China as an independent source of growth. The microeconomic analysis decomposes trade into basic products, parts and components, and finished goods. We find a large role for parts and components trade consistent with China playing an important and increasing role as a conduit. We also estimate some regressions that show that China's increasing presence in export markets has had a negative effect on exports of some products for some other Asian economies, but not for other products, including those of the important electronic high-technology industry.

Keywords: Economic conditions - China; Economic policy - China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna, nep-dev, nep-int and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgif:904

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