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Simple monetary rules under fiscal dominance

Michael Kumhof, Ricardo Nunes and Irina Yakadina

No 937, International Finance Discussion Papers from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: This paper asks whether an aggressive monetary policy response to inflation is feasible in countries that suffer from fiscal dominance, as long as monetary policy also responds to fiscal variables. We find that if nominal interest rates are allowed to respond to government debt, even aggressive rules that satisfy the Taylor principle can produce unique equilibria. But following such rules results in extremely volatile inflation. This leads to very frequent violations of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates that make such rules infeasible. Even within the set of feasible rules the optimal response to inflation is highly negative, and more aggressive inflation fighting is inferior from a welfare point of view. The welfare gain from responding to fiscal variables is minimal compared to the gain from eliminating fiscal dominance.

Keywords: Fiscal policy; Monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Simple Monetary Rules under Fiscal Dominance (2010)
Journal Article: Simple Monetary Rules under Fiscal Dominance (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Simple Monetary Rules Under Fiscal Dominance (2007) Downloads
Working Paper: Simple Monetary Rules under Fiscal Dominance (2007) Downloads
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