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Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage

Christopher Neely and Paul A. Weller

No 2006-033, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: Shleifer and Vishny (1997) pointed out some of the practical and theoretical problems associated with assuming that rational risk-arbitrage would quickly drive asset prices back to long-run equilibrium. In particular, they showed that the possibility that asset price disequilibrium would worsen, before being corrected, tends to limit rational speculators. Uniquely, Shleifer and Vishny (1997) showed that ?performance-based asset management? would tend to reduce risk-arbitrage when it is needed most, when asset prices are furthest from equilibrium. We analyze a generalized Shleifer and Vishny (1997) model for central bank intervention. We show that increasing availability of arbitrage capital has a pronounced effect on the dynamic intervention strategy of the central bank. Intervention is reduced during periods of moderate misalignment and amplified at times of extreme misalignment. This pattern is consistent with empirical observation.

Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-fmk, nep-mac and nep-mon
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published in International Journal of Finance and Economics, April 2007, 12(2), pp. 249-60

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