Fiscal Drag from the State and Local Sector?

Nora Fitzpatrick, Andrew Haughwout and Elizabeth Setren

No 20120627, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: With July just around the corner, most cities and states are preparing for the start of a new fiscal year. Since the start of the recent recession, some have worried that fiscal stress on the sector would result in massive municipal bond defaults. At the end of 2011, many breathed a sigh of relief as aggregate state government revenues finally re-attained the peak they had achieved before tumbling during and after the recession. Unfortunately, relief may be premature. When adjusted for inflation, 2011 state tax revenues were still below their levels of four years ago, and local tax revenue continues to decline. In this post, we explore how the state and local public sector functions as part of the broader economy, how it responded to the most recent downturn, and why it could potentially be a drag on economic activity for years to come.

Keywords: deficits; local governments; State government (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-06-27
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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