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How Much Is Priced In? Market Expectations for FOMC Rate Hikes from Different Angles

Ryan Bush, Marco Huwiler, Eric LeSueur and Giorgio Topa

No 20171130, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: It is essential for policymakers and financial market participants to understand market expectations for the path of future policy rates because these expectations can have important implications for financial markets and the broader economy. In this post?which is meant to complement prior Liberty Street Economics posts, including Crump et al. (2014a, 2014b ) and Brodsky et al. (2016a, 2016b)?we offer some insights into estimating and interpreting market expectations for increases in the federal funds target range at upcoming meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

Keywords: market expectations; Policy rate; Desk surveys (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D8 E5 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-11-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
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