Securing Technological Leadership? The Cost of Export Controls on Firms

Matteo Crosignani, Lina Han (), Marco Macchiavelli and André Silva
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Lina Han: https://www.isenberg.umass.edu/people/lina-han-0

No 1096, Staff Reports from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: To safeguard its technological leadership, the U.S. has restricted domestic suppliers from exporting specific cutting-edge technologies to selected Chinese firms. Domestic firms affected by these export controls halt sales to Chinese customers, as intended, but struggle to establish new relations with alternative customers domestically or in politically aligned regions. As a result, domestic suppliers experience a $130 billion decline in market capitalization, along with reductions in profitability, employment, and bank lending. We also show how Chinese firms strategically respond to export controls. Overall, export controls impose significant costs on domestic firms producing the very technologies these policies intend to protect.

Keywords: geopolitical risk; Export controls; decoupling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F38 F51 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53
Date: 2024-04-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-int
Note: Revised February 2025. Previous title: “Geopolitical Risk and Decoupling: Evidence from U.S. Export Controls.”
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.59576/sr.1096

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