Can Economists Predict Recessions?

Jeremy Majerovitz

On the Economy from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: An analysis of 55 years of data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters suggests that quarter-ahead recession forecasts are fairly accurate but still have a great deal of uncertainty.

Keywords: recessions; recession forecasts; forecasting; Survey of Professional Forecasters (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-09-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hpe
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:l00001:96928

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