COVID-19 Spread and Inter-County Travel: Daily Evidence from the U.S

Hakan Yilmazkuday

No 2007, Working Papers from Florida International University, Department of Economics

Abstract: Daily data at the U.S. county level suggest that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths are lower in counties where a higher share of people have stayed in the same county (or travelled less to other counties). This observation is tested formally by using a difference-in-difference design controlling for county-fixed effects and time-fixed effects, where weekly changes in COVID-19 cases or deaths are regressed on weekly changes in the share of people who have stayed in the same county during the previous 14 days. A counterfactual analysis based on the formal estimation results suggests that staying in the same county has the potential of reducing total weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths in the U.S. as much as by 139,503 and by 23,445, respectively.

Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus; Same-County Stayers; County-level Investigation; the U.S. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I10 I18 R41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2020-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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