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COVID-19 Effects on the S&P 500 Index

Hakan Yilmazkuday

No 2117, Working Papers from Florida International University, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases in the U.S. on the S&P 500 Index using daily data covering the period between January 21st, 2020 and August 10th, 2021. The investigation is achieved by using a structural vector autoregression model, where a measure of the global economic activity and the spread between 10-year treasury constant maturity and the federal funds rate are also included. The empirical results suggest that having 1% of an increase in cumulative daily COVID-19 cases in the U.S. results in about 0.01% of a cumulative reduction in the S&P 500 Index after one day and about 0.03% of a reduction after one week. Historical decomposition of the S&P 500 Index further suggests that the negative effects of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. on the S&P 500 Index have been mostly observed during March 2020.

Keywords: Coronavirus; COVID-19; S&P 500 Index; Baltic Dry Index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F44 G15 I10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 16 pages
Date: 2021-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk and nep-isf
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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https://economics.fiu.edu/research/pdfs/2021_working_papers/21171.pdf First version, 2021 (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: COVID-19 effects on the S&P 500 index (2023) Downloads
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